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3.2.2. Model-based assessments of climate change impacts on electricity supply

A study conducted within the IMPACT2C project used a consistent modelling approach to assess the impacts of three levels of global warming (1.5 °C, 2 °C and 3 °C) on wind, solar photovoltaic, hydro and thermoelectric power generation potential in European countries (Tobin et al., 2018). The results show that climate change has negative impacts on electricity production in most countries and for most technologies. Hydropower and thermoelectric generation may decrease by up to 20 % whereas impacts on solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind power potential are more limited (and more uncertain). In agreement with other studies, more severe impacts were generally found in southern Europe than in northern Europe. For most countries, a higher integration of renewables could reduce the vulnerability of power generation to climate change.

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