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Heavy precipitation is expected to become more frequent and intense in the future almost everywhere in Europe in winter, with significant increases of up to 35 % in Scandinavia, north-eastern and eastern Europe, due to more frequent extreme extratropical cyclones. Heavy precipitation in summer will remain similar or slightly increase in most parts of Europe. Exception are many coastal areas of southern European countries, as well as the Pyrenees and part of the Alps, where significant decreases are expected. The projected decrease in cyclone frequency in the Mediterranean contributes partly to the phenomena described above (EEA, 2016e).