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Climate change projections (under high-emission RCP scenario 8.5), comparing the historic period 1981–2010 with the future period 2041-2070, suggest that the frequency of meteorological droughts will increase in most parts of Europe, with the exception of several areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Europe (Map 3.7). Southern Europe is projected to be the hotspot of more frequent and intense droughts in the future. On a seasonal basis, intense droughts will be more likely than today in summer, and then in spring and autumn, whereas intense droughts will become less likely in winter (EEA, 2019g).

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