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Future outlook

A recent outlook study (EC, 2019e), based on agro-economic modelling and consultation with stakeholders, international institutions and experts, suggests that the agricultural land in EU is expected to decrease slightly by 2030 with the current agricultural and trade policies. This is in line with the findings of the recent FP7 Volante project, which also concluded that a limited reduction in the size of agricultural areas is the most probable scenario by 2030. Cereals, fodder and pasture are expected to decrease, whereas oil seeds, pulses and other crops are expected to increase. The study also indicates that the production of milk and beef could decrease in the EU.

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