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Glossary Element  Foresight Dictionary

Translations

English: Trend analysis

Glossary Element  Trend analysis

Trend analysis is a method for locating a trend that is apparent over time and projecting it into the future, based on historical data on the rates of change and the extent of change achieved. A trend curve is fitted to historical data to calculate a future trend, given no unprecedented future events. A trend is a statement about the direction of a change in the forces that shape the future of a system, sector, organisation, etc. Usually the focus of such a statement is gradual and long-term challenges. Trend analysis provides a basis for building scenarios.

Sources

Dammers, E. 2013. Scenario’s maken voor milieu,natuur en ruimte – een handreiking. Den Haag

For-Learn.

Jakil, A. 2011. Sustainability Governance Foresight – Towards Bridging the Knowledge Gap between Policy Analysis and Governance for Sustainable Development. Vienna.