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Foresight Dictionary
Wild card analysis
Wild card analysis is a method to determine a future event or development with a low probability of occurrence but a high impact on the system under consideration. Synonyms are black swan, discontinuity and low-probability/high-impact event.
Sources
Steinmüller, A. and Steinmüller, K. 2004. Wild Cards – Wenn das Unwahrscheinliche eintritt. Hamburg.