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Most of the studies assessing the likely impacts of climate change on beach tourism in Europe use the tourism climate index (TCI). The TCI assesses the climatic elements that are most relevant to the quality of the tourism experience, such as maximum and mean daily temperature, humidity, precipitation, sunshine and wind, in order to assess human comfort for general outdoor activities (Amelung, and Moreno, 2009; Nicholls, and Amelung, 2015). Over the 21st century, climate change is projected to shift a ‘favourable’ climate northwards. As a result, Southern Europe’s suitability for bathing tourism will most likely decrease in the summer but increase in spring and autumn. Since climate conditions at the Atlantic and northern European coasts will most likely improve, competition between bathing destinations in Europe may increase.

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